Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.052654 0.057167 0.061737 0.066704 0.071942 0.077295 0.083172
2025-06-01 0.044996 0.051564 0.058455 0.066198 0.074627 0.083499 0.093516
2025-06-08 0.040900 0.049096 0.057960 0.068196 0.079626 0.091938 0.106140
2025-06-15 0.037252 0.046651 0.057094 0.069446 0.083546 0.099032 0.117217
2025-06-22 0.034011 0.044303 0.056027 0.070198 0.086690 0.105112 0.127076
2025-06-29 0.030948 0.041864 0.054598 0.070301 0.088902 0.109998 0.135493
2025-07-06 0.029354 0.041021 0.054906 0.072322 0.093253 0.117288 0.146652
2025-07-13 0.026691 0.038647 0.053188 0.071755 0.094414 0.120768 0.153328
2025-07-20 0.024707 0.036974 0.052196 0.071951 0.096389 0.125135 0.160999
2025-07-27 0.023326 0.035973 0.051952 0.072989 0.099326 0.130614 0.169975
2025-08-03 0.022354 0.035435 0.052234 0.074637 0.102984 0.136950 0.179995
2025-08-10 0.019816 0.032616 0.049424 0.072229 0.101491 0.136951 0.182318
2025-08-17 0.018186 0.030985 0.048133 0.071759 0.102450 0.140009 0.188458
2025-08-24 0.016702 0.029466 0.046915 0.071321 0.103407 0.143048 0.194585
2025-08-31 0.016243 0.029403 0.047657 0.073470 0.107697 0.150267 0.205918
2025-09-07 0.015547 0.028939 0.047810 0.074808 0.110931 0.156175 0.215662
2025-09-14 0.014732 0.028240 0.047592 0.075610 0.113446 0.161176 0.224298
2025-09-21 0.013767 0.027246 0.046901 0.075723 0.115024 0.164972 0.231428
2025-09-28 0.013467 0.027276 0.047672 0.077853 0.119289 0.172229 0.242961
2025-10-05 0.012415 0.026031 0.046526 0.077257 0.119872 0.174727 0.248464
2025-10-12 0.011658 0.025217 0.045974 0.077463 0.121509 0.178578 0.255691
2025-10-19 0.011184 0.024845 0.046058 0.078556 0.124342 0.183987 0.264926
2025-10-26 0.010898 0.024775 0.046591 0.080291 0.128060 0.190573 0.275710